OK, I've read it. Pretty impressive on the first pass, actually. Following along with the mathematical specifics, on the much slower second pass, will come later. I doubt I'll ever be able to evaluate the structural engineering components.
Quick observations:
- His choice of parameterization of the resistive force may be open for debate
- A
quantitative comparison with crush down of the lower block could be done to see if it differs from his free-fall phase by a magnitude exceeding the error range; his treatment appears to appeal to qualitative arguments exclusively
- I'd mused out loud lately about whether the crush-up equations had properly accounted for the pile-up of debris at the bottom, leading to an upward displacement of the crush zone over time. As best I can tell, Beck claims that the equations did not account for it and the introduction of his
kappa term does so. Correct me if I'm wrong, please.
- But then, later, when he goes to solve, he sets
kappa to zero for simplicity! (not that I blame him)
- He treats the upper motion as a rigid unit in 1D whereas we know it to be differential and complex; specifically he states there was no prior motion to that recorded in the data he uses- that would only be true if the data came from the center roofline and I'm betting it didn't
- I want to examine his fitting method more closely; as we know, we've seen plenty of sensitivity to even the most minor tweaking and he has a paucity of data to work with
- He use a 12ft floor height with his data
- More and better data would only help clarify everything
I find this section hand-wavey at best:
Beck wrote:Next few seconds is the period over which “additional columns buckle,” which we translate at that the top section slows down considerably - in few, say two, seconds it does not cover more than a fraction, say 1/2, of the 12th floor.
We thus have a sequence: possible crawl (failure of the named column) followed by a free fall, both together for 1 floor height, duration of which is at most t = p2H/g = 0.86 s. This is followed by a 2-seconds crawl at velocity v ≃ 0.5 ·H/(2 s)) = 1 m/s. In total, after 3 s of fall the top section may have moved at most floor and a half, ∼ 6 m.
As I stated above, I'm not sure a crush down or simultaneous crush up/down involving the lower section would produce much retardation of displacement from freefall. This is the 'wham' thing all over again; if it's not expected for WTC1 or 2 then I can't imagine it would be for WTC7 with a much larger initial block (that also appears to be disintegrating).
All in all, though, much food for thought. I like his treatment of the momentary excesses of
g; I think I may owe some people a note of conciliation. Maybe.
I still want better data.