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Technical notes on video motion analysis

Other 9/11 topics of a technical nature.

Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby Dr. G on Mon Nov 10, 2008 1:59 am

OWE:

Well I thank you too!

And yes, I didn't realize that looking at photographic images was a waste of time... and that perspective is different in the horizonal direction compared to the vertical direction ....

But nevertheless,

Here is another great "calibration" photo:

http://wirednewyork.com/parks/battery_p ... _20may.jpg

Points of interest in this image include:

(i) Lower portion of WTC 1 on the far right

(ii) WTC 7, (near the center of the frame), .... with strange black window pattern (?)

(iii) The art-deco New York Telephone Building just below and to the right of WTC 7

(iv) Three prominent buildings in the foreground, (along the bank of the Hudson River). These are, (from left to right), the tall 34 River Terrace, the black and brown two-tiered 22 River Terrace and the reddish-brown two-tiered 20 River Terrace in front of WTC 1.

The new WTC 7 video was shot from the lower roof area of the black and brown 22 River Terrace building. It has a distinctive black balcony railing around the lower roof that is barely visible in this photo but can be clearly seen near the end of the new TWC 7 video.

P.S. This image nicely shows how close this location was to "the action"!
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby OneWhiteEye on Mon Nov 10, 2008 2:36 am

You've got it. The location is very close, indeed.

I find Google Maps Street View a little creepy on some level, but it is a useful tool. I put in the address you have and started looking around. Starting from street level on the waterfront side and panning up:

Image
Image
Image

Moving to the other side of the building, the side facing the WTC7 complex, zooming in on the framed area in the WTC7 video:

Image

For comparison, a frame from that video:

Image

And the same thing for a frame from the WTC 1 video, first the street view cap and then a frame:

Image

Image

These views are restricted to ground level, obviously.

...with strange black window pattern...

Yeah, what is that about?
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby OneWhiteEye on Mon Nov 10, 2008 2:52 am

Oops, reread your post; I got the wrong building...

From the WTC side looking back at the building:

Image

Unfortunately, the ground level view is obstructed when looking towards WTC7.

Image
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby Dr. G on Mon Nov 10, 2008 2:46 pm

OWE:

Two quick points:

(i) I have noticed some contradictory photos of buildings on River Terrace with 22 RT claimed to be 20 RT and vice versa. For example, take a look at this photo, ....... I believe it's of 20 River Terrace not 22 RT as stated; 22 is just visible on the left of the photo.

http://wirednewyork.com/real_estate/22r ... _12may.jpg


(ii) There has been a lot of new construction in the area between WTC 7 and 22 RT since 2001. There are some good shots of the area in question on www.bridgestreet.com. I will see if I can give a better link.....
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby Dr. G on Mon Nov 10, 2008 2:56 pm

OWE:

Yes! Go to the "bridgestreet.com" link I gave above and type "22 River Terrace" into the Search by Property box. Then open the 22 River Terrace hit and at the lower part of the page you will see a map of the Hudson River/Battery Park area of NYC. Go to the "Bird's Eye" option, open it and have some fun. The shots are quite amazing and you can zoom in on a building and even change the direction of view!
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby OneWhiteEye on Mon Nov 10, 2008 5:59 pm

bridgestreet.com

Great resource, Dr. G! I've added that to my toolbox.

I'm a little hesitant to admit that I still have problems distinguishing the buildings in this cluster when viewed from different locations and with different illumination.
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby OneWhiteEye on Fri Nov 28, 2008 10:37 pm

I generated 308 smears, corresponding to the vertical slices from this section of the CBS frames:

Image


One of the more interesting ones is on the NW corner:

Image


The horizontal motion measured by NIST can be seen directly.

Image


What does one do with 308 smears? Make a movie, of course. Pretty weird to swap horizontal space and time dimensions.
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby Dr. G on Sat Nov 29, 2008 9:09 pm

I believe that NIST has dug a hole for itself with its fitting function and conclusion that the WTC 7 roofline acceleration was precisely equal to g for several seconds during the collapse. I think NIST reached this erroneous conclusion because it tried too hard to fit questionable data points measured early in the collapse.

To investigate this issue I have compared NIST's data to Einsteen's smearogram data posted on this forum on the "Withering Critique" thread - see the entry for Sept 14 at 7:59 pm (Thanks Einsteen!).

What I have discovered is that, with a bit of time shifting, Einsteen's data agrees very well with NIST's.

Taking time steps of 0.2 seconds I get drop sequences, onced they are "lined up" such as:

NIST.....: 11.1; 13.9; 17.2; 20.8; 24.9; 29.4; 34.3; 39.5; 44.9; 50.5; 56.3 meters

Einsteen: 11.0; 14.6; 17.6; 21.3; 25.0; 31.6; 34.1; 39.4; 44.7; 50.7; 56.0 meters

Except for a couple of points, I would say the level of agreement is remarkable!

Some problems do develop for drops less than 1 meter so I have simply ignored these values and plotted the remaining data for drops up to about 62 meters. I then adjusted the time scales to make sure my best curve also passes through zero drop at zero time. For a final tweak I found it necessary to reduce NIST's drop distances by a constant 0.9 meters. In this way I found for example that the drop was 10.2 meters, (instead of 11.1 meters), at 1.54 seconds.

With this "time calibration" I get a very good fit (R^2 = 0.9998) for the drop data from t = 0 to t = 4 seconds with the function:

Drop = 4.3881t^2 + 0.0027t + 0.0067

Which to all intents and purposes is:

Drop = 4.3881t^2

Or in other words, the motion had a constant acceleration of ~ 8.7 m/s^2, or 89 % of g, for the first 4 seconds.

Now I believe this is a much more physically appealing result than NIST's, and it is based on two completely independent sets of measurements of the same Camera 3 video.
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby OneWhiteEye on Sun Nov 30, 2008 2:21 am

Dr. G wrote:I believe that NIST has dug a hole for itself with its fitting function and conclusion that the WTC 7 roofline acceleration was precisely equal to g for several seconds during the collapse. I think NIST reached this erroneous conclusion because it tried too hard to fit questionable data points measured early in the collapse.

At this point, I agree. I don't think there's a better fit than the one you just did.

The net result is it's OK to believe in the freefall of WTC7, if you're so inclined. I see the belief systems changing already, but the news hasn't reached everyone yet.

Or in other words, the motion had a constant acceleration of ~ 8.7 m/s^2, or 89 % of g, for the first 4 seconds.

Or, basically what einsteen had first calculated (8.75)! Wow.

Now I believe this is a much more physically appealing result than NIST's, and it is based on two completely independent sets of measurements of the same Camera 3 video.

Pretty solid so far and much more appealing. Given what you know about mass, what does this say about the characteristics of E1/m as a function of displacement?
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Displacement at NW corner vs. midroof

Postby OneWhiteEye on Sun Nov 30, 2008 2:43 am

Consider the smear from pixel column 259, located between the kink and centerline (very left edge of crop above), CBS video:

Image

And column 552, located at the NW corner:

Image

These smears can be reduced to simple regions and overlaid to compare shape. This is something einsteen already did, I just want to examine it in detail. Strictly speaking, the pixel-distance conversions aren't the same, but this is qualitative. With the tops aligned as best as possible, the NW corner is light green and the midroof is purple, and where they overlap is bluish-green. The edge forming the curve is really the only thing of interest.

Image

The midroof starts sooner and drops slower. Zooming in on the early portion only, and giving it a vertical stretch:

Image

The 'elbows' are quite different. We've noted this before, the center moves sooner but ends up with similar or even less displacement than the NW corner. There's no way the early portions of these curves can be fit by the same function. It could be that no parts of these two sets can be fit with the same form.
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More of the same

Postby OneWhiteEye on Sun Nov 30, 2008 3:17 am

This got me thinking about the data I took on the big dark rectangle, the data which does not appear to be good in the early stage. When I scale as best as possible and lay a graph of the displacement on top:

Image

A little additional tweaking on the time was done, so I'm not claiming there's a numeric match, though that may be so. The first half of the data has an unexplained drift downward, causing me to question its validity because I can't confirm it visually (may be real, or smoke, etc.); so ignore that, it's the last half that may be OK, and is likely fine at higher velocities.

Zooming in and stretching vertical as before:

Image

A decent enough match to the midroof smear over the last half. Since the smear is from a roofline over the rectangle, it ought to be pretty close but not necessarily match exactly. If the rectangle data is good over the last half, and I have no reason to doubt it, then this should more closely resemble what NIST was trying to fit. Now, this was the data Dr. G said was resistant to polynomial fits, and it looks to be the case.

The fits are giving me fits. I think this is the hole NIST went down.
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby Dr. G on Sun Nov 30, 2008 4:18 am

OWE:

Excellent!

Those overlays are fascinating! The difference between the middle of the roof and the NW corner is also quite remarkable. As you point out, it is pretty obvious that the fitting functions for these two cases are going to be quite different! Looks like the middle section dropped first and pulled the corner sections down with it. All the more reason why the middle section could not descend at g (or faster than g!).

As for your question about E1/Mh, I suggested a while back that the effective acceleration, a, for WTC 7 in a simple energy transfer model should fit:

a = g - E1/Mh

Now the floor height for WTC 7 is 3.96 meters and I also gave a rough value for E1as 0.75 GJ and M ~ 0.35/110 x 40 x 10^9 kg (assuming WTC 1 & 2 floor masses are comparable to a WTC 7 floor mass), in which case a = 8.32 m/s^2.

Since the observed value of a is apparently closer to 8.75 m/s^2 this suggests that E1 is smaller than 0.75 GJ, or possibly that we need to assume there was a larger falling block.
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energia

Postby OneWhiteEye on Sun Nov 30, 2008 4:44 am

Dr. G wrote:...for WTC 7 in a simple energy transfer model should fit:

a = g - E1/Mh
...

Since the observed value of a is apparently closer to 8.75 m/s^2 this suggests that E1 is smaller than 0.75 GJ, or possibly that we need to assume there was a larger falling block.

Thank you. Does this seem like a reasonable value, all things considered, or is it too early to ask?
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This is NIST's hole; I'm in it, too

Postby OneWhiteEye on Sun Nov 30, 2008 5:33 am

I reprocessed the big rectangle data using 3.89m story heights (taken from NIST's slab-to-slab distances for typical floors) and a scale measurement below the center of the rectangle of 5 stories equal to 114 pixels. This measurement is subject to considerable error, about +/- 5 pixels, because of a lot of distortion over the north face, so I'll start with the nominal figure of 0.171 meters per pixel but later investigate 0.163 and 0.178.

Since the first half is questionable and precedes global initiation, I've trimmed off the first 6.5 seconds. This is still not quite enough to make the data only monotonically increasing in the beginning, but it's a good start. Also, the last eight points were not used in the fits to follow.

The intent here is to interpolate, not provide a functional form that has physical meaning. Unlike NIST, I will use two different functions for the first and last half of the dataset, both simpler than their single function. The first 3.5 seconds are fit to an exponential and the interval 2.8 - 4.35 seconds are fit by a 3rd degree polynomial.

f_1(t) = a0 + a1*exp(a2*t)
f_2(t) = a0 + a1*t + a2*t^2 + a3*t^3

The fits obtained are very good:
f_1(t) = -0.0019275 + 0.0024491*exp(1.9909*t)
f_2(t) = -31.025 + 33.588*t - 12.379*t^2 + 1.5785*t^3

The following graph depicts the dataset points as light green dots and the two interpolating functions as darker green solid lines with their first and second derivatives as broken lines. A constant acceleration of g is indicated by a red dash. Note the ranges of the interpolating functions overlap, by design, and we can see the zeroth, first and second derivatives are all matched at 3.15 seconds.

Image
Large: http://i33.tinypic.com/2hy7w9v.png


Shows acceleration exceeding g starting at just after 3.6 seconds. Let's see, we have the following propositions, all found to be true:

1) The mid-roofline smear has a different shape than the NW corner -- shallower
2) The rectangle data closely follows the shape of the mid-roofline, to within small scale factors in time and distance
3) The pair of interpolating functions match the rectangle displacement data very well
4) The velocity and acceleration derived from the interpolations are well behaved and essentially continuous at 3.15s
5) The derived acceleration from interpolation exceeds g substantially


Adding Dr. G's fit function in as a blue line, after translation by 1 meter up and 2.87 seconds later:

Image
Large: http://i37.tinypic.com/6r21wl.png


Not a perfect match, but amazingly close. Paradoxically, the acceleration obtained from this fit is a constant 8.7 m/s^s, as stated. More to come.

Edit: the label for the blue line says 'f(t) = ...' but erroneously shows powers of x.
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Re: Technical notes on video motion analysis

Postby Dr. G on Sun Nov 30, 2008 11:57 am

OWE:

"This is NIST's hole; I'm in it too"

NICELY PUT!!!!

Anyway, that's a very interesting set of results!

First of all I don't think your two functional fits are entirely unphysical. I have shown, (in some calculations I have done for the collapse of WTC 2), that the tipping of a structure can be represented quite well (for small angles) by the function:

Theta = A constant x Theta(0) exp(bt)

where Theta is the tilt angle (in radians), Theta(0) is an effective "start" angle and b is a constant that is inversely proportional to the height of the structure. (This relationship comes from the "tipping pencil" formula.) So I am happy to see that the early data fit this type of function which suggests that the collapse began with a very slow tipping motion (to the north?). At about 3 seconds, (on your time scale), the tipping, (which creates an apparent dropping motion), combined with a true vertical dropping motion that quickly dominated the rest of the collapse.

However, there is obviously something "funny" with your second function - at least if we try to derive an acceleration from it! I suspect the problem is connected (as usual!) to t. The fact that you can visually get my function to line up with yours is telling me that you need to put a "new t" = ["old t" - 2.87] seconds into your fitting function and then look at the resultant fitting coefficients to derive an acceleration, ........ or something like that .....
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