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femr2 wrote:Can trace two corners and provide rotation/time data...
SanderO wrote:Richard Gage is willfully ignorant and refuses to accept physics and the actual observations. He is on a mission to promote explosive controlled demolition and frames his comments and sees the destruction from THAT filter. He is a science and gravity denier... So it seems.
I suspect ego and pride is at work here. How could he, at this stage of the *game* admit he got so many fundamental *things* wrong... things he, his advisers and *experts* should not have botched. The way he deals with this is repeating the same mis-statements and ignoring evidence that shows them to be wrong.
Sort of a sad situation and he has so many people who think he's god's gift to the truth movement and short of a blue ribbon reliable professional who simply wouldn't make such blunders.
Illuminist14 wrote:femr2 wrote:Can trace two corners and provide rotation/time data...
Thanks that's good of you. Although I would need help interpreting such data probably. (Novice).
...which started me thinking. I decided to "think out in the open" on that other forum - dead ends, warts and all. I'm not shy nor scared of getting initial thoughts wrong...I do not believe that this is true. Not certain, I just don't believe it.
Specifically, I don't believe that there is anything that you could do to get a tower, built with a lattice array of columns like the WTC, to topple to the side, even if this was your goal....
SanderO wrote:Ozzie,
I have no data measurements to support the following. I offer only *informed opinion*.
.....
Perhaps.
...because the manner in which 'the top section crashed into the bottom section' seems to be the issue of most confusion - whether we look at Bazant's various efforts or the concerns expressed by Tony Szamboti and David Chandler. (Flow on point #1 for another post.)SanderO wrote:It appears to me that there was initial rotation and then that more or less ended as the top section crashed into the bottom section.
I'm not surprised - I'm in the minority as an NLP 'Visual' who thinks easily in 3d moving pictures. Several war stories from my career in a design office where the bosses were strictly non-visuals.SanderO wrote:Ozzie,
Interesting but I do need to see some diagrams....
it means that this is my first documented think through the issues - haven't got it all sorted out yet - looking for input from folk who can match or better my level of analysis. Pure 'reasoning' may get me to a final conclusion - I achieved it with my explanations of what I didn't call ROOSD back in 2008. By pure reasoning I mean taking readily accessible observable evidence, adding known facts/principles of engineering/physics and assessing what would happen. For example you can legitimately support 'ROOSD' with only ball park estimates of forces. Reason being that all the progressive collapse forces are 'overwhelming' - so you don't need decimal point maths. If the weight of several storeys is placed statically onto a single floor it will shear - even less if applied dynamically. So ball park is needed.SanderO wrote:..."preliminary hypothesis being 'tilting at WTC2 would not stop"
What does that actually mean?...
actually covered very briefly - the downwards movement was so fast that toppling would get left behind PLUS (you identified this in next paragraph) the top portion both got broken up and its bits mostly channelled inside the lower perimeter tube.SanderO wrote:Are you saying that the rotation would continue until what degree? Could the horizontal roof with the floors attached below rotated to vertical.. that is 90°? Or more?..
Yes. I identified disintegration as a factor. Also don't overlook that the outer perimeter columns would initially act as a 'knife edge' - depending on which wall we talk about the upper section perimeter went either inside or outside the lower section perimeter. Where top perimeter fell outside lower perimeter would act 'knife edge upwards' to shear off top portion floors as those floors descended. Conversely with top perimeter falling inside lower perimeter the top section perimeter would shear off the floors in lower section. At least the first floor or two. And in some sort of competition with falling already separated debris - who knows what the balance. But it doesn't change the logic. Floors become disconnected in both top and lower portions and therefore top section starts to disintegrate.SanderO wrote:...It appears to me that the top's rotation was halted by its disintegration as the bottom *dug into* the upper floors of the lower section. Aside from providing the ROOSD kick off mass... the collision of the FLOOR plates seems to have caused the frame to break apart. How many plate collisions did this take? Dunno....
Yes - I said wire baskets in my previous explanations. BUT I am now trying to detail understand and leaving it as "not an issue" does not help progress. And strongly beg to differ on column strength not even an issue. This is the territory of Bazant's explanations and Tony Szamboti's sort of following Bazant with 'Missing Jolt' and D Chandlers work. And with all of all of them column strength and column involvement is the central factor where I say they went wrong. I am interested in the mechanism which actually happened. Not in the confused thinking of Bazant abstract models or those who follow their own abstractions possibly led astray by Bazantian misunderstandings.SanderO wrote:...I think your discussion of what happens to the columns and their resistance is not even an issue... Much of the columns of the lower section were destroyed and incapable of resisting in an significant manner to the load paths to foundation. At best the upper columns were like the tynes of a fork (47 for the core) punching downward and meeting no resistance whatsoever.. a typical floor plate is effectively no resistance as is air!
I like to think of this as two hair brushes being pressed together at an angle... even twisted a bit... the bristle simply slide past one another....
SanderO wrote:...The tower of course had those pesky little floor plates *stuck* to the columns and those got nicely shattered in crush up, crush down.. and in so doing messed up the bracing for the columns.. the plates WERE the bracing!
So one enough floors mutually destructed they did in a hole bunch of columns as well.... especially in the descending section... it was not only weaker but it lacked the connection to the foundation to provide rigidity. Look at the top in the photos... it does a bit of wobble as it drops and just before it breaks apart.
Also think of whether the top could support itself at 90°... it can't I suspect... the floors would be columns and the columns would be concentrated loads on the edge of the floors. That couldn't happen because the lower section could not begin to support the top at 90°. But even if you could slice the top off... pick it up with a Ozzie SkyHook... rotated to 90°and gently place it on terra firma... it would collapse on its own weight.
The load paths were becoming increasingly disrupted in the upper section that the more it tilted the less rigid the entire frame was. And it wasn't in free fall and stress free... there WAS resistance.. JOLTING the frame and the plate... as they were meeting the lower section.
What would cause it to stop? I have detailed an hypothesis which goes to the structural and dynamic realities. There was nothing to stop it once it started rotating. Except that the bottom fell out before it got past 8o (Note - should be 22o).SanderO wrote:...My thesis is that it HAD to stop...
Out to 8o tilt they would have no difficulty remaining standing and avoiding sliding down the slope. (Edit - my wrong use of 8o - should be 22o and change 'no difficulty' to 'a little bit of difficulty'SanderO wrote:What would happen to someone standing on the roof as the top starts to tilt.... do a little thought experiment...
I also appreciate your willingness to lay your thinking out as part of a discussion. Thanks again.SanderO wrote:Ozzie,
I appreciate this discussion. We have to leave the math to the physicists and engineers...
Yes and thank you. It is part of my approach of 'visualising' what could really happen. Similar to your 'wire brush'. Since it can involve guessing things we could not see you ("I") have to be careful to ensure that conclusions are valid whether it is right or wrong - otherwise it is little more than conjecture. But - on this example of 'knife edge' - femr (and M_T IIRC) were able to confirm that some outer perimeter walls fell inside and others fell outside the lower tower perimeter. So that was one factor of confirmation. Therefore "knife edge up' and 'knife edge down' were both plausible factors. I tend to accept femr or M_T's technical findings as the default hypothesis - they are usually very good as you know. BUT knowing that 'knife edge' is plausible is still a fair way from knowing it must be true. So other possibilities have to be exhausted as well.SanderO wrote:...The facade would function as a knife edge. Excellent observation... rather blunt but it would certainly cleave a 4" thick slab/plate and once the slab/plate was separated from its moorings to the facade it would collapse as the core side could not support it as a cantilever....
There is a very important proviso with 'modelling'. That is you cannot model until you have a clear concept of what you are modelling. That is where my comments about Bazant and Tony Sz's 'Missing Jolt' fits in. I think (and can show why) Bazant's underlying simplification leads to errors. Simply put he leaves the columns in place providing resistance through the collapse. Initially in B & Z he was clear that it was a 'limiting case' - that was OK but from there he and a lot of others started to forget the 'limiting case limit' and take Bazant's ideas way too far - outside the limits of his assumptions. The Le and Bazant paper criticising Tony's Missing Jolt OR David chandlers work (possibly both - he doesn't name them) is simply wrong. I can easily show why. That doesn't make Tony or D Chandler right by the way - that's a false dichotomy. What is does say is that he hasn't proven them wrong. I happen to think that they are wrong - ironically because they make the same error as Bazant. And Bazant therefore is 'right for the wrong reasons' - a bad situation to get into - it fools too many people.SanderO wrote:....I suspect this motion could be somehow modeled in a 3d animation and one could literally see what hits what and when... of course depending on the location of the virtual hinge. Maybe this is something that Enik of Achimspok or femr2 could produce. It would go a long way to dispelling the notion that the tilting top was blown up before it fell over the side....
Le and Bazant (2011) wrote: "Recently, though, a new objection, pertaining to the smoothness of the observed motion history of the tower top, has been raised and disseminated on the internet.
This objection is based on the intuition that, if the collapse of WTC towers were gravity driven, then the existing amateur video of collapse would have to show a pronounced velocity drop at the moment at which the upper falling part impacted the lower intact story...
I've generally given up allowing for explosive or thermXte possibilities unless I need to be very rigorous in logic. 2007-8-9 I would always leave the option in place "aircraft impact damage, accumulating damage from unfought fires and the possible assistance of some human interventions (CD)..." But it is 2012 and the default hypothesis is "no CD" which has not been effectively challenged in over ten years. So IMO time to leave it behind. PLUS it is my own position but in rigorous argument your own position doesn't come into play till you have built the chain of reasoning. And I can be cold bloodedly objective when I try and can leave my conclusion out of discussion till we get to them.SanderO wrote:...I am not sure of the logic of blowing it up before it fell over (as if it could)... but perhaps the idea is that it was intended to be blown up but something went wrong and it began to tilt and the explosions just went off in any case. I find it increasingly difficult to understand the CD thesis. But that's off topic.
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