He continues,
2. "Because a significant amount of steel insulation was stripped,
many structural steel members heated up to 600°C, as confirmed
by annealing studies of steel debris (NIST 2005) (the
structural steel used loses about 20% of its yield strength
already at 300°C, and about 85% at 600°C (NIST 2005);
and exhibits significant viscoplasticity, or creep, above
450°C (e.g., Cottrell 1964, p. 299), especially in the columns
overstressed due to load redistribution; the press reports right
after September 11, 2001 indicating temperature in excess of
800°C, turned out to be groundless, but Bažant and Zhou’s
analysis did not depend on that).
3.
Differential thermal expansion, combined with heat-induced
viscoplastic deformation, caused the floor trusses to sag. The
catenary action of the sagging trusses pulled many perimeter
columns inward (by about 1 m, NIST 2005). The bowing of
these columns served as a huge imperfection inducing multistory
out-of-plane buckling of framed tube wall. The lateral
deflections of some columns due to aircraft impact, the differential
thermal expansion, and overstress due to load redistribution
also diminished buckling strength."
The bold letters highlight the claim by both the NIST and Dr Bazant that sagging long trusses destabilized the perimeter which caused collapse initiation. 4."
The combination of seven effects—(1) Overstress of some
columns due to initial load redistribution; (2) overheating
due to loss of steel insulation; (3) drastic lowering of yield
limit and creep threshold by heat; (4) lateral deflections of
many columns due to thermal strains and sagging floor
trusses; (5) weakened lateral support due to reduced in-plane
stiffness of sagging floors; (6) multistory bowing of some
columns (for which the critical load is an order of magnitude
less than it is for one-story buckling); and (7) local plastic
buckling of heated column webs—finally led to buckling of
columns (Fig. 1(b)). As a result, the upper part of the tower
fell, with little resistance, through at least one floor height,
impacting the lower part of the tower. This triggered progressive
collapse because the kinetic energy of the falling upper
part exceeded (by an order of magnitude) the energy that
could be absorbed by limited plastic deformations and fracturing
in the lower part of the tower."
Bold lettering is mine. It represents Dr Bazant's unsubstantiated opinion of what he thinks happened during collapse initiation. It is presented as fact but it is just his opinion.
Appendix C of the OOS collapse propagation study provides a large body of detailed images of the as-is condition all regions of the rubble after 9-11-01 and during various stages of the clean-up. Almost no buckled core or perimeter columns can be found. The NIST claims to have recovered only 2 core columns from the collapse initiation regions from WTC1 and 2. No one has ever provided visual evidence of more than a few core columns that show signs of creep-buckling. "In broad terms, this scenario was proposed by Bažant (2001),
and Bažant and Zhou (2002a,b) on the basis of simplified analysis
relying solely on energy considerations.
Up to the moment of
collapse trigger, the foregoing scenario was identified by meticulous,
exhaustive, and very realistic computer simulations of
unprecedented detail, conducted by S. Shyam Sunder’s team at
NIST. The subsequent progressive collapse was not simulated at
NIST because its inevitability, once triggered by impact after column
buckling, had already been proven by Bažant and Zhou’s
(2002a) comparison of kinetic energy to energy absorption capability.The elastically calculated stresses caused by impact of the
upper part of tower onto the lower part were found to be 31 times
greater than the design stresses"
In bold Dr Bazant claims that "meticulous, exhaustive, and very realistic computer simulations" done by the NIST have confirmed his initial opinion. This is untrue as there are serious contradictions with the NIST attributing inward bowing on the WTC1 south face to sagging floors. The floors would have to sag about 9 ft over a period of 15 minutes. The inward bowing occurred on the opposite face as the airplane strike. It appeared in a region where fire was not witnessed 10 minutes previously. The IB formed in an area where large unexplained fire ejections were witnessed minutes earlier, as WTC2 collapsed.
This is the official story in a nutshell: Dr Bazant guessed, "meticulous, exhaustive, and very realistic computer simulations" done by the NIST confirmed Bazant's guess and collapse initiation of WTC1 is considered solved. The official collapse initiation sequence requires 60 ft floor trusses to sag up to 9 ft in an area where fire was not seen coming from the windows 10-15 minutes earlier. There are many contradictions in a collapse initiation scenario that depends on substantial floor sagging and it seems absurd to call the NIST's work on collapse initiation "meticulous, exhaustive, and very realistic".
These "meticulous, exhaustive, and very realistic computer simulations" done by the NIST on the causes of early deformation, inward bowing and south wall destabilization is the strongest proof which Dr Bazant and the NIST offer that confirm his description of collapse initiation is correct.