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List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Other 9/11 topics of a technical nature.

Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby David B. Benson » Mon Oct 19, 2009 10:02 pm

OneWhiteEye --- Write out your system of ODEs and I'll solve them against your data.

Ah, verinage. Well, about two stories are stripped out almost entirely with columns replaced by pistons or something, yes? So in that case there is a definite inhomogeneity and a two story (nearly) free fall. Yes, jumping off a two story building is likely to hurt rather badly when you land on your belly. Don't need fancy physics to know that. Nor videos.

The point is that the structure of WTC 1, damaged as it was, certainly did not result in any free fall, none at all. So now we do need some physics in the attempt to understand the progressive collapse.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby David B. Benson » Mon Oct 19, 2009 10:25 pm

How to pick a model.

A Cartoon Guide to AIC, BIC
http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~zhuxj/courseproject/aicbic/

:P
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby OneWhiteEye » Mon Oct 19, 2009 10:44 pm

David B. Benson wrote:OneWhiteEye --- Write out your system of ODEs and I'll solve them against your data.

Since I don't think there's anything wrong with B&L's analysis, I'll point you to that text for the system of ODEs, the only difference being, instead of a 0.15 reduction in capacity in the upper floor, plug in 0.2. If it crushes up to the next floor, stop there. We'll cross that bridge if we come to it.

Ah, verinage. Well, about two stories are stripped out almost entirely with columns replaced by pistons or something, yes?

Columns displaced horizontally but that's the idea.

So in that case there is a definite inhomogeneity...

Actually, if you look at them, they're about as close to homogeneous, outside of the two stripped stories, as you're likely to find. What I've seen so far are apartment buildings, uniform cellular structures. The stripped floors are different from the unprepped, but appear homogeneous across their extent. What's more, the impact is about as symmetrical and even as possible (i.e, no tilt), like against like. NO asymmetrical damage.

...and a two story (nearly) free fall.

This is a difference. Of course, the demo company wants to ensure complete destruction. From the looks of it (and this is something you need to know), they haven't quite got the hang of that part yet. Even two stories of drop, with an upper block consisting of the entire upper half of the building, is not always enough to finish the job. Sure, the construction and materials are different, the upper block might only be 8 stories, whatever. These are parameters. Until they're plugged into the model and compared with experiment, it's just talk.

More important, it really is not freefall through two stories. Though I've not measured it, there's no need to, the mechanics forbid it. It's usually a concertina collapse, as Dr. G describes it. Here, the walls of the two floors go from vertical to hinged at the interface like two tipping pencils end on end. After a short distance, the effective resistance drops to null but isn't that the case for steel columns buckling under compression, too?

Yes, jumping off a two story building is likely to hurt rather badly when you land on your belly. Don't need fancy physics to know that. Nor videos.

Well, are you surprised then that some cases arrest?

I see your point. However, I will observe that the solution given in B&L, which remains the sole justification for application of d'Alembert's principle, looks very much like a knife-edge solution. It comes very close to exceeding the yield of the columns above. If it does, there won't be freefall, but it could descend independently, crushing up on Zone B, while B+C crush down A. The solution in B&L may be highly insensitive to the choice of relative capacities, but my gut tells me this is not the case.

The point is that the structure of WTC 1, damaged as it was, certainly did not result in any free fall, none at all.

I'll remind you Bazant himself has calculated only 0.5m of freefall is required to initiate crush down. It would seem, even for crush-up with an accelerated base below for impact, freefall is not something that's required. The mechanics will indicate whether the energy is sufficient to initiate and continue crush-up. B&L have done it for an assumed parameter of 0.15% reduction as a margin of error. Looks like it just about crushed up, if you look at their graph. To not carry through in an exploratory fashion, to the point where crush-up does initiate, should be considered an omission, given the subject matter.

So now we do need some physics in the attempt to understand the progressive collapse.

Before the equations come the reasoning. Interestingly, we already have the equations, we need to finish the reasoning.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby David B. Benson » Mon Oct 19, 2009 11:17 pm

OneWhiteEye --- Ok, I'll use B&L's ODEs with 20% reduction. This will take awhile to write an appropriate program; my current one is rather a jumble of research code and it will be better, for this, to start afresh.

Only 0.5 m of freefall? Ok, that's 2 pixels, close enough. If actually freefall, takes 0.319+ seconds. So, around frame 909 in your dish data is there anywhere a 2 pixel change frame-to-frame. (I just checked, not even one pixel.). No free fall.

May never be able to properly "finish" the reasoning.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby OneWhiteEye » Mon Oct 19, 2009 11:26 pm

David B. Benson wrote:OneWhiteEye --- Ok, I'll use B&L's ODEs with 20% reduction. This will take awhile to write an appropriate program; my current one is rather a jumble of research code and it will be better, for this, to start afresh.

Excellent. Low priority, unless you wish otherwise. But it might be ***really*** interesting.

Only 0.5 m of freefall? Ok, that's 2 pixels, close enough. If actually freefall, takes 0.319+ seconds. So, around frame 909 in your dish data is there anywhere a 2 pixel change frame-to-frame. (I just checked, no even one pixel.). No free fall.

Well, no freefall at initiation. That's not to say there weren't (brief) periods of near freefall at some point in the collapse. You wouldn't think so, but I'm taking a wait and see attitude.

Beside the point. I meant to emphasize the KE required to fail a story is quite small. If it's 0.5m in 1g, it's 1.5m at (1/3)g. You follow me?

May never be able to properly "finish" the reasoning.

Agreed. Fun to try?
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby David B. Benson » Mon Oct 19, 2009 11:42 pm

OneWhiteEye --- Ok, but (1/3)g is much too slow. I'll try (2/3)g which is then 0.75 m, yes? Takes 0.479 seconds. Checking against metric data this time, at 0.4738 seconds have a measured 1.015 m and a calculated 0.878. Maybe enough for a two hinge buckle. (Except none was found.)

Fun to try. :P
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby OneWhiteEye » Tue Oct 20, 2009 12:04 am

David B. Benson wrote:OneWhiteEye --- Ok, but (1/3)g is much too slow. I'll try (2/3)g which is then 0.75 m, yes?

Well, I'm just guessing at the (1/3)g. This is based on having a normal crush-down proceeding concurrently at (2/3)g. We know the lower will crush down at this rate with a rigid block, and further that the probem is somewhat insensitive to shedding. Thus, we treat the problem as a pair of decoupled equations to a first approximation. The top crushes up on the debris zone while the debris zone accelerates downward at (2/3)g. Equivalent to solving the upper block crush up in a gravitational field of (1/3)g, against a stationary base.

Fun to try. :P

Glad you think so and I'm anxiously awaiting the results (but do take your time).
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby David B. Benson » Tue Oct 20, 2009 12:38 am

OneWhiteEye wrote:This is based on having a normal crush-down proceeding concurrently at (2/3)g.
Ah. I didn't see what you were driving at. Ok, 1.5 m at (1/3)g takes 0.553 seconds, as the dish drops 1.25 m. I'll have to solve both ODEs simultaneously; no big deal.

Which brings up the rest of the model (which is to be yours, not mine). If I am to completely follow B&L except for using a 20% strength reduction factor, you will have to supply the F(u) to be used. (See the two or three paragraphs following equation (4) in B&L.)
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby OneWhiteEye » Tue Oct 20, 2009 12:54 am

David B. Benson wrote:
OneWhiteEye wrote:This is based on having a normal crush-down proceeding concurrently at (2/3)g.
Ah. I didn't see what you were driving at. Ok, 1.5 m at (1/3)g takes 0.553 seconds, as the dish drops 1.25 m. I'll have to solve both ODEs simultaneously; no big deal.

Yes, that's the idea. B&L's treatment, with param=0.2, is the starting point. The solution for this will provide the boundary conditions for the next step, which is yet to be discussed. I was thinking ahead a little to a sustained crush-up riding on top of the normal crush-down. But, ultimately, the solution of the coupled equations provides the actual rate of change for the generalized coordinates. Thinking of the problem as two decoupled problems, normal rigid crush displacement in the lower coordinate in a stationary frame and simultaneous crush-up in an accelerated frame leads to the notion that the upper coordinate can be solved as crush-up in a stationary frame (wrt ground) in (1/3)g field. As a first approximation.

The solution of the first story above and below, in the manner of B&L but param=0.2, will indicate if crush-up proceeds past yield over this brief initial time. If so, it may yet stop at some point, particularly as the driving mass diminishes.

I'm interested in the point of bifurcation between exclusive crush-down and a mix at first impact. The value of 0.2 is a guess, and is reasonably close to the value Bazant used.

Which brings up the rest of the model (which is to be yours, not mine). If I am to completely follow B&L except for using a 20% strength reduction factor, you will have to supply the F(u) to be used. (See the two or three paragraphs following equation (4) in B&L.)

This I need to think about, after perusing the treatment again.

At first, it is B&L, just a scaling down of upper capacity slightly. Same form.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby David B. Benson » Tue Oct 20, 2009 1:03 am

OneWhiteEye --- Same form, but B&L do not disclose the actual F(u) used in their study, So that will be up to you.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby OneWhiteEye » Tue Oct 20, 2009 1:06 am

Oh, OK. **** it! Now I've got to do real work!
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby David B. Benson » Tue Oct 20, 2009 1:30 am

OneWhiteEye --- Yup. :wink:

But I'd rather have better measurements out to at least 3 seconds, first.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby OneWhiteEye » Tue Oct 20, 2009 1:31 am

For sure.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby Major_Tom » Tue Oct 20, 2009 3:15 pm

Ah, verinage. Well, about two stories are stripped out almost entirely with columns replaced by pistons or something, yes? So in that case there is a definite inhomogeneity and a two story (nearly) free fall. Yes, jumping off a two story building is likely to hurt rather badly when you land on your belly. Don't need fancy physics to know that. Nor videos.


They are the perfect experimental system to test two block destruction in the real world.
They show us the BL claim of very little crush up possible is wrong.

Your resistance force F for WTC1 or any crush up, crush down F can only be known empirically.

The action resulting from crush up, crush down can only be known empirically. You can gain practical understanding only by observing similar physical systems.

This is why I know your assumptions are wrong.

F cannot possibly be calculated from first principles. A couple of professors sitting in their offices cannot possibly derive equations that show no significant crush up is possible.


I can see you approach the issues as a mathematician, not as a physicist.

You believe math can give some perfect result which we can trust without following up with experiment. Verinage demos are a gift to us, yet you derive no useful info from them and berate those who see them as a reality check to the silly, unverified conclusion that the upper block is practically invincible during crush down.

This is why you treat BL as bible subjecting it to no empirical scrutiny, and dismiss those who claim that useful info can be drawn from watching crush up, crush down demos.

We've yet to see an upper block that does as you claim, including WTC1, yet you insist that you, B and L are right while those who approach the question empirically (by observation, not only in our minds) must be wrong.




There is simply no physical way to know if F, empirically derived, conforms to a natural or unnatural collapse initiation without comparing it to similar physical systems.

You try to stuff it into a BV shoebox, to give it a BV (column buckling) interpretation while we can fit the data equally to any function with a good fit, even piecewise for a "multistage" system with equal or better physical justification.

This is why simplification #3 in BV (assume F is known) leads to a useless equation of motion. You must go back and ask: "was F guessed well?" The answer from observations of the rubble is "no".

So as a mathematician you may want to keep stuffing this equation with meaning through parameters, but as a physicist you'd redo the BV process of reasoning with a new F. You'd just guess again and see if you do better. Your interest would be on guessing a more accurate F based on sound principles rather than stuffing an F=ma you know to be wrong by finding the best parameter fit.




There is no way you can persist with a known poor choice of F (column buckling) and then just tweak the parameters until it fits decently. Guess a new form for F and try again. Feel free to see the crushing process as a sequence of different stages involving very different crushing modes.


You have to use your eyes (proceed empirically). Videos are not "low" or "dirty". You cannot do this from mathland or from some professor's office.
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Re: List of all scientific/research 9-11 papers

Postby Major_Tom » Tue Oct 20, 2009 4:14 pm

I lack access to BL. Anyone have a BL link? It's probably the next paper to discuss.
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